Wednesday, June 13, 2007
ABN Fears World Housing Crash
Soaring borrowing costs could spark a housing slump on a 'global scale', investment bank ABN Amro has warned.
Families have taken on 'unsustainably large' mortgages, leaving them vulnerable to the sharp increases in bond yields and official interest rates seen in recent weeks, wrote economist Dominic White.
Britain is one of the most exposed markets thanks to rampant speculation over the past decade, though it is by no means alone.
Claims that shortfalls in the supply of new homes will lead to an inexorable rise in UK property prices in coming decades have 'as much credibility as Britney Spears' latest comeback,' he wrote.
'The decline in global interest rates has now been largely reversed,' White said. 'Rising real interest rates could result in greater economic volatility. I believe this leaves housing markets vulnerable to a correction on a global scale.'